I just read today that the minimum wage is being raised in the UK by nearly four percent for all age groups. On July 24th, the US will follow suit, with 29 states affected by the increase in the federal minimum wage to $7.25 per hour. Other countries like Morocco are also raising their minimum wage, which went up last year and is set to rise again for a total rise of 10%. Other countries too are talking about raising their minimum wages to keep people out of poverty.
While this may all sound like good news, for the world's economy as a whole it may not be. Although it is good news for those who are already employed and who are working for minimum wage already, it will not encourage job growth in a stagnant job market. Employers are inevitably going to hire less as their costs for labor increase. That means fewer jobs will be created overall.
Now, the argument is that minimum wage jobs are essentially entry level positions, and should therefore not be seen as positions that are meant to support a family. There are plenty of families in the US and other countries that do have families dependent upon the minimum wage. Besides which, what about the teenagers and college students who need jobs to gain experience so that they can get ahead? Current US unemployment figures for teens are at 24%, the highest in a quarter of a century. The rise in the minimum wage will only exacerbate this problem.
Peter Schiff explains in detail how employers will tend to use higher skilled workers who are able to produce more in less time than workers with lower skills, and how some workers will even be replaced by machines. The last time I was in the US I saw an increase in automated cashiers, which means jobs are being lost among these types of low wage jobs. Sure, the people who manufacture and repair these machines are getting more work, but I have a feeling that they were getting more than minimum wage anyway. It is for this same reason that fast food establishments use throwaway cutlery, plates, and cups. In so doing, they have no need to hire a dishwasher. This is the same for other unskilled positions, such as movie ushers or baggers at grocery stores. Those jobs have been essentially lost due to the minimum wage laws.
There is another cynical effect of the raise in the minimum wage, at least in the US. It will keep people off of welfare programs. As it stands, a worker on the bottom of the pay scale will benefit from various government programs, which help to feed, house, and provide medical coverage for the poorest in our country. By raising the minimum wage, some workers will no longer get these benefits and will actually be worse off. Now, while this is good for government coffers, which are in the red after massive bailouts to large corporations, it may in fact cause more suffering as families are cut off from needed food and medical aid. Obama's plan to ensure medical coverage for all Americans may end part of that argument, but people must still eat and have a place to live.
Now, I am not advocating that there should be no minimum wage, but in the current economic climate in which we find ourselves, is it not better for a person to have a job than not? Raising the minimum wage, whether it be in the UK, the US, or South Africa, will not solve anyone's problems, least of all the unemployed.


